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Signature Residency REIT GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

13.71%

decreased by 2.17%

1 Week

14.82%

decreased by 1.06%

1 Month

18.31%

increased by 2.43%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Signature Residency REIT GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 29, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 49 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 49 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.41 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 49-day half-lifev = 5.41 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.2803
0.87
αARCH0.2883
2.84***
βGARCH0.9859
72.10***
νDF5.4059
0.84

0.986

Persistence

49d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.2803
0.87
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2883
2.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9859
72.10***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.4059
0.84

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days