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Crombie Real Estate Investment Trust GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

16.29%

increased by 0.94%

1 Week

16.56%

increased by 1.21%

1 Month

17.35%

increased by 2.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:01 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Crombie Real Estate Investment Trust GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 23, 2006 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.43 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-lifev = 5.43 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4903
2.49**
αARCH0.1202
6.01***
βGARCH0.9584
64.13***
νDF5.4273
1.90*

0.958

Persistence

16d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4903
2.49**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1202
6.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9584
64.13***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.4273
1.90*

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days