V-Lab
Crombie Real Estate Investment Trust GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
15.01%
increased by 0.77%
1 Week
15.31%
increased by 1.07%
1 Month
16.22%
increased by 1.98%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:01 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 23, 2006 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 155% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 155% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0478 | 4.37*** |
| αARCH | 0.0588 | 3.90*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8625 | 56.24*** |
| γleverage | 0.0914 | 2.49** |
0.967
Persistence21d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0478 | 4.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0588 | 3.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8625 | 56.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0914 | 2.49** |
Persistence:
0.967
Half-life:
21 days
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