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Fonciere Inea S.A. GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

9.99%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

10.29%

increased by 0.09%

1 Month

11.37%

increased by 1.17%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fonciere Inea S.A. GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 7, 2006 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 73 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 280% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~73 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 280% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0162
3.14***
αARCH0.0297
2.48**
βGARCH0.9193
83.97***
γleverage0.0831
2.76***

0.991

Persistence

73d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0162
3.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0297
2.48**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9193
83.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0831
2.76***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

73 days