V-Lab
Hedge Logistica Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
10.46%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Week
11.46%
increased by 0.89%
1 Month
13.62%
increased by 3.05%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 5, 2020 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0812 | 3.07*** |
| αARCH | 0.1889 | 1.69* |
| βGARCH | 0.7510 | 14.97*** |
| γleverage | -0.0364 | -0.20 |
0.922
Persistence8d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0812 | 3.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1889 | 1.69* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7510 | 14.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0364 | -0.20 |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
8 days
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