V-Lab
Sunlight Real Estate Investment Trust GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
15.76%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Week
16.32%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Month
18.10%
increased by 1.73%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 08:06 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 21, 2006 to Sep 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 28-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0607 | 4.35*** |
| αARCH | 0.0995 | 4.40*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8628 | 41.84*** |
| γleverage | 0.0263 | 0.66 |
0.975
Persistence28d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0607 | 4.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0995 | 4.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8628 | 41.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0263 | 0.66 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
28 days
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