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Sunlight Real Estate Investment Trust GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

15.67%

decreased by 1.31%

1 Week

16.29%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Month

18.15%

increased by 1.17%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sunlight Real Estate Investment Trust GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 21, 2006 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.24 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 20-day half-lifev = 4.24 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.1950
1.29
αARCH0.1191
5.66***
βGARCH0.9666
38.28***
νDF4.2382
2.40**

0.967

Persistence

20d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1950
1.29
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1191
5.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9666
38.28***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.2382
2.40**

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

20 days