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Puldin Lion Group Reit GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026

1 Day

32.31%

increased by 6.85%

1 Week

32.47%

increased by 7.01%

1 Month

33.06%

increased by 7.60%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 05:59 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/23/2024

to

09/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Puldin Lion Group Reit GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 13, 2019 to Sep 23, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.00 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst8.0899
1.91*
αARCH0.1198
23.21***
βGARCH0.9949
409.08***
νDF2.0009

0.995

Persistence

135d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.0899
1.91*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1198
23.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9949
409.08***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0009

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

135 days