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Puldin Lion Group Reit GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026

1 Day

13.39%

increased by 6.07%

1 Week

13.35%

increased by 6.03%

1 Month

13.19%

increased by 5.87%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 05:59 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/23/2024

to

09/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Puldin Lion Group Reit GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 13, 2019 to Sep 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 122 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~122 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0019
1.28
αARCH0.0514
1.28
βGARCH0.8998
23.61***
γleverage0.0862
0.56

0.994

Persistence

122d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0019
1.28
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0514
1.28
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8998
23.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0862
0.56

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

122 days