CBOE Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	31
αARCH	0.0127	0.41
βGARCH	0.0000	0.00
γleverage	0.1980	1.53
λ₁tau intercept	0.0257	2.67***
λ₂forecast adj.	0.6275	1.60
λ₃tau persistence	0.0000	0.00

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	31
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0127	0.41
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.0000	0.00
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1980	1.53
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0257	2.67***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.6275	1.60
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.0000	0.00

V-Lab

Puldin Lion Group Reit MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Puldin Lion Group Reit Analyses