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V-Lab

STAG Industrial Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

18.58%

decreased by 0.81%

1 Week

18.40%

decreased by 0.99%

1 Month

18.69%

decreased by 0.70%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:16 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of STAG Industrial Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 15, 2011 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.7910
17.30***
γleverage0.1193
4.96***
λ₁tau intercept0.0606
2.04**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0602
2.40**
λ₃tau persistence0.9103
25.29***

0.851

Persistence

4d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7910
17.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1193
4.96***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0606
2.04**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0602
2.40**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9103
25.29***

Persistence:

0.851

Half-life:

4 days