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Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

17.39%

decreased by 0.32%

1 Week

17.71%

increased by 0.00%

1 Month

18.97%

increased by 1.26%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:16 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 21, 2004 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 135 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~135 daysLeverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0038
0.73
βGARCH0.9591
148.47***
γleverage0.0640
6.94***
λ₁tau intercept3.3379
1.44
λ₂forecast adj.0.1910
1.49
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.995

Persistence

135d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0038
0.73
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9591
148.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0640
6.94***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.3379
1.44
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1910
1.49
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

135 days