Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Rio Bravo Credito Imobiliario High Grade FII GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

28.84%

increased by 0.55%

1 Week

28.88%

increased by 0.59%

1 Month

29.02%

increased by 0.73%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Rio Bravo Credito Imobiliario High Grade FII GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2020 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 264 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.71 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~264 daysv = 3.71 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.9331
2.05**
αARCH0.0757
10.82***
βGARCH0.9974
694.07***
νDF3.7137
8.00***

0.997

Persistence

264d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.9331
2.05**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0757
10.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9974
694.07***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.7137
8.00***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

264 days