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V-Lab

Rio Bravo Credito Imobiliario High Grade FII Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

23.69%

increased by 1.01%

1 Week

24.39%

increased by 1.71%

1 Month

24.74%

increased by 2.06%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Rio Bravo Credito Imobiliario High Grade FII S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 5, 2020 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.5809
5.22***
αARCH0.2009
3.32***
βGARCH0.3333
3.09***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ12.4234
1.67*
γ2-1.6129
-0.76
γ3-2.2015
-1.32
γ44.0579
1.73*
γ5-6.8351
-2.10**
γ611.2626
3.60***
γ7-14.7942
-6.46***
γ812.7190
6.37***
γ9-6.7251
-4.39***

0.534

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5809
5.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2009
3.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3333
3.09***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ12.4234
1.67*
γ2-1.6129
-0.76
γ3-2.2015
-1.32
γ44.0579
1.73*
γ5-6.8351
-2.10**
γ611.2626
3.60***
γ7-14.7942
-6.46***
γ812.7190
6.37***
γ9-6.7251
-4.39***

Persistence:

0.534

Half-life:

1 days