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Kimco Realty Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

13.72%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Week

14.01%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Month

15.05%

increased by 0.63%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:12 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kimco Realty Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 22, 1991 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 74 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.14 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~74 daysv = 6.14 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.4628
1.70*
αARCH0.0758
10.66***
βGARCH0.9906
168.71***
νDF6.1392
2.71***

0.991

Persistence

74d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4628
1.70*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0758
10.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9906
168.71***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.1392
2.71***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

74 days