V-Lab
Kimco Realty Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
15.54%
decreased by 0.47%
1 Week
15.90%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
17.17%
increased by 1.16%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 22, 1991 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 90 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~90 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0295 | 4.26*** |
| αARCH | 0.0488 | 1.91* |
| βGARCH | 0.9130 | 56.34*** |
| γleverage | 0.0611 | 1.91* |
0.992
Persistence90d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0295 | 4.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0488 | 1.91* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9130 | 56.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0611 | 1.91* |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
90 days
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