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Kimco Realty Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

15.54%

decreased by 0.47%

1 Week

15.90%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Month

17.17%

increased by 1.16%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kimco Realty Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 22, 1991 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 90 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~90 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0295
4.26***
αARCH0.0488
1.91*
βGARCH0.9130
56.34***
γleverage0.0611
1.91*

0.992

Persistence

90d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0295
4.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0488
1.91*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9130
56.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0611
1.91*

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

90 days