Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Navi Imobiliario Total Return FII GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

24.21%

decreased by 2.87%

1 Week

24.74%

decreased by 2.34%

1 Month

26.22%

decreased by 0.86%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Navi Imobiliario Total Return FII GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 26, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.09 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-lifev = 3.09 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.4239
0.67
αARCH0.1144
2.58***
βGARCH0.9511
14.00***
νDF3.0898
1.93*

0.951

Persistence

14d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.4239
0.67
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1144
2.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9511
14.00***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.0898
1.93*

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days