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V-Lab
V-Lab

Valora Renda Imobiliaria Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

18.36%

decreased by 1.31%

1 Week

20.77%

increased by 1.10%

1 Month

24.39%

increased by 4.72%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Valora Renda Imobiliaria Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.53 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-lifev = 3.53 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.8356
0.76
αARCH0.1358
1.13
βGARCH0.8556
4.20***
νDF3.5335
0.62

0.856

Persistence

4d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8356
0.76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1358
1.13
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8556
4.20***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.5335
0.62

Persistence:

0.856

Half-life:

4 days