V-Lab
Storage King Group Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
23.94%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
23.94%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
23.94%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 31, 2023 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
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Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1398 | 4.65*** |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8989 | 6.04*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0114 | 0.06 |
0.899
Persistence7d
Half-lifeτ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1398 | 4.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8989 | 6.04*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0114 | 0.06 |
Persistence:
0.899
Half-life:
7 days
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