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V-Lab
V-Lab

Storage King Group Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

23.94%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

23.94%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

23.94%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Storage King Group SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 2023 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1398
4.65***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8989
6.04***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0114
0.06

0.899

Persistence

7d

Half-life
τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1398
4.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8989
6.04***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0114
0.06

Persistence:

0.899

Half-life:

7 days