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V-Lab
V-Lab

Storage King Group AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

23.26%

decreased by 1.92%

1 Week

26.71%

increased by 1.53%

1 Month

27.72%

increased by 2.54%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Storage King Group AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 2023 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 1.64) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.6654
3.60***
αARCH0.1628
2.40**
βGARCH0.1620
1.83*
γleverage1.6429
2.18**

0.325

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6654
3.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1628
2.40**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1620
1.83*
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.6429
2.18**

Persistence:

0.325

Half-life:

1 days