V-Lab
Storage King Group AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
23.26%
decreased by 1.92%
1 Week
26.71%
increased by 1.53%
1 Month
27.72%
increased by 2.54%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 31, 2023 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 1.64) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.6654 | 3.60*** |
| αARCH | 0.1628 | 2.40** |
| βGARCH | 0.1620 | 1.83* |
| γleverage | 1.6429 | 2.18** |
0.325
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6654 | 3.60*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1628 | 2.40** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1620 | 1.83* |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 1.6429 | 2.18** |
Persistence:
0.325
Half-life:
1 days
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