V-Lab
Caixa Rio Bravo Fundo de Fundos de Investimento Imobiliario AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
36.88%
decreased by 2.63%
1 Week
36.32%
decreased by 3.19%
1 Month
34.73%
decreased by 4.78%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 8, 2014 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.2282 | 1.59 |
| αARCH | 0.1083 | 2.34** |
| βGARCH | 0.8335 | 19.35*** |
| γleverage | -0.0079 | -0.01 |
0.942
Persistence12d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2282 | 1.59 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1083 | 2.34** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8335 | 19.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0079 | -0.01 |
Persistence:
0.942
Half-life:
12 days
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