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V-Lab

Storage King Group APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

24.48%

increased by 2.61%

1 Week

26.87%

increased by 5.00%

1 Month

27.70%

increased by 5.83%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Storage King Group APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 2023 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 390% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.56 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 390% more than positive returnsδ = 0.56 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8538
2.15**
αARCH0.1357
3.21***
βGARCH0.2823
1.12
γleverage0.8907
3.10***
δpower0.5573
1.41

0.377

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8538
2.15**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1357
3.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2823
1.12
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.8907
3.10***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5573
1.41

Persistence:

0.377

Half-life:

1 days