V-Lab
Storage King Group APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
24.48%
1 Week
26.87%
1 Month
27.70%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 31, 2023 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 390% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.56 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8538 | 2.15** |
| αARCH | 0.1357 | 3.21*** |
| βGARCH | 0.2823 | 1.12 |
| γleverage | 0.8907 | 3.10*** |
| δpower | 0.5573 | 1.41 |
0.377
Persistence1d
Half-lifeAPARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8538 | 2.15** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1357 | 3.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2823 | 1.12 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.8907 | 3.10*** |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5573 | 1.41 |
Persistence:
0.377
Half-life:
1 days
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