V-Lab
Rio Bravo Multiestrategia Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario de Responsabilidade MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
18.35%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Week
20.06%
increased by 1.48%
1 Month
22.45%
increased by 3.87%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 3, 2013 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.2414 | 2.21** |
| βGARCH | 0.4272 | 4.11*** |
| γleverage | -0.1413 | -1.22 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.7695 | 3.55*** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.7138 | 5.40*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.598
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2414 | 2.21** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4272 | 4.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1413 | -1.22 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.7695 | 3.55*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7138 | 5.40*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.598
Half-life:
1 days
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