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Patria Top Offices Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario - Responsabilidade Limitada MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

18.99%

increased by 2.53%

1 Week

19.31%

increased by 2.85%

1 Month

19.64%

increased by 3.18%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Patria Top Offices Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario - Responsabilidade Limitada MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 7, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow96
αARCH0.2821
5.03***
βGARCH0.6225
6.60***
γleverage-0.2821
-5.57***
λ₁tau intercept0.0421
0.84
λ₂forecast adj.0.0251
1.65*
λ₃tau persistence0.9481
27.18***

0.764

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2821
5.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6225
6.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2821
-5.57***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0421
0.84
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0251
1.65*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9481
27.18***

Persistence:

0.764

Half-life:

3 days