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V-Lab

Patria Top Offices Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario - Responsabilidade Limitada APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

17.60%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Week

17.60%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

17.61%

decreased by 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Patria Top Offices Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario - Responsabilidade Limitada APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 7, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. The volatility power δ = 3.00 sits above 2, so large shocks influence volatility more than quadratically, dominating the response more than in standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-lifeδ = 3.00 · super-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0446
1.19
αARCH0.0520
1.04
βGARCH0.8818
19.60***
γleverage-0.1038
-0.65
δpower3.0000
2.59***

0.967

Persistence

21d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0446
1.19
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0520
1.04
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8818
19.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1038
-0.65
δ

power

Transformation power

3.0000
2.59***

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

21 days