V-Lab
Patria Top Offices Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario - Responsabilidade Limitada Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
19.38%
increased by 0.01%
1 Week
19.53%
increased by 0.16%
1 Month
19.69%
increased by 0.32%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 7, 2024 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.1626 | 6.32*** |
| αARCH | 0.1367 | 2.60*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6214 | 3.05*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 4.0612 | 7.37*** |
| γ2 | -4.6601 | -6.33*** |
0.758
Persistence3d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.1626 | 6.32*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1367 | 2.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6214 | 3.05*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 4.0612 | 7.37*** |
| γ2 | -4.6601 | -6.33*** |
Persistence:
0.758
Half-life:
3 days
Other Patria Top Offices Fundo de Investimento Imobiliario - Responsabilidade Limitada Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on Real Estate