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Hedge Recebiveis FII Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

20.73%

increased by 1.66%

1 Week

19.69%

increased by 0.62%

1 Month

19.31%

increased by 0.24%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Hedge Recebiveis FII S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6706
2.20**
αARCH0.2334
3.27***
βGARCH0.1359
0.88
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.0433
0.01
γ20.4493
0.07
γ32.8529
0.54
γ4-10.9362
-2.04**
γ514.7016
4.75***
γ6-12.2017
-5.25***
γ77.8465
2.86***
γ8-3.4555
-2.05**

0.369

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6706
2.20**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2334
3.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1359
0.88
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.0433
0.01
γ20.4493
0.07
γ32.8529
0.54
γ4-10.9362
-2.04**
γ514.7016
4.75***
γ6-12.2017
-5.25***
γ77.8465
2.86***
γ8-3.4555
-2.05**

Persistence:

0.369

Half-life:

1 days