V-Lab
Hedge Recebiveis FII EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
20.79%
increased by 2.41%
1 Week
20.03%
increased by 1.65%
1 Month
19.30%
increased by 0.92%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0965 | 1.34 |
| αARCH | 0.3686 | 6.93*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7300 | 10.00*** |
| γleverage | 0.0129 | 0.06 |
0.730
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0965 | 1.34 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3686 | 6.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7300 | 10.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0129 | 0.06 |
Persistence:
0.730
Half-life:
2 days
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