V-Lab
SJ Au Logistica FII EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
118.03%
increased by 2.89%
1 Week
132.54%
increased by 17.40%
1 Month
190.90%
increased by 75.76%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 11, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.3117 | 1.21 |
| αARCH | 0.2943 | 2.35** |
| βGARCH | 0.9512 | 21.27*** |
| γleverage | 0.1904 | 1.68* |
0.951
Persistence14d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3117 | 1.21 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2943 | 2.35** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9512 | 21.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1904 | 1.68* |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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