V-Lab
Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario Caixa Agencias EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
15.61%
decreased by 1.19%
1 Week
15.42%
decreased by 1.38%
1 Month
15.05%
decreased by 1.75%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2022 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | -0.0168 | -0.50 |
| αARCH | 0.2109 | 2.85*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8920 | 20.37*** |
| γleverage | 0.1376 | 1.87* |
0.892
Persistence6d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0168 | -0.50 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2109 | 2.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8920 | 20.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1376 | 1.87* |
Persistence:
0.892
Half-life:
6 days
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