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Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario Caixa Agencias GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

14.58%

decreased by 1.11%

1 Week

14.47%

decreased by 1.22%

1 Month

14.27%

decreased by 1.42%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Fundo De Investimento Imobiliario Caixa Agencias GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 7, 2022 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1001
3.08***
αARCH0.2237
2.01**
βGARCH0.7487
12.64***
γleverage-0.1988
-1.45

0.873

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1001
3.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2237
2.01**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7487
12.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1988
-1.45

Persistence:

0.873

Half-life:

5 days