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Canuma Capital Multiestrateg MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

18.95%

decreased by 9.14%

1 Week

26.10%

decreased by 1.99%

1 Month

31.95%

increased by 3.86%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Canuma Capital Multiestrateg MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 28, 2022 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.5567
6.60***
βGARCH0.0127
2.45**
γleverage-0.5000
-5.41***
λ₁tau intercept0.3840
7.76***
λ₂forecast adj.0.8019
9.14***
λ₃tau persistence0.0315
0.74

0.319

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5567
6.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0127
2.45**
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-5.41***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3840
7.76***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8019
9.14***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0315
0.74

Persistence:

0.319

Half-life:

1 days