V-Lab
FII RB CAPITAL I Fundo de Fundos GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
15.95%
decreased by 0.15%
1 Week
16.05%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Month
16.42%
increased by 0.32%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 04:23 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 6, 2020 to May 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 48-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0212 | 4.38*** |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9607 | 257.20*** |
| γleverage | 0.0497 | 8.38*** |
0.986
Persistence48d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0212 | 4.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9607 | 257.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0497 | 8.38*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
48 days
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