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H&R Real Estate Investment Trust GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

19.18%

increased by 0.75%

1 Week

19.29%

increased by 0.86%

1 Month

19.70%

increased by 1.27%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:04 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of H&R Real Estate Investment Trust GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 26, 1997 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 58 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 58 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.03 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 58-day half-lifev = 5.03 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.1970
1.07
αARCH0.0967
8.18***
βGARCH0.9881
91.36***
νDF5.0301
2.82***

0.988

Persistence

58d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1970
1.07
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0967
8.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9881
91.36***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.0301
2.82***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days