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H&R Real Estate Investment Trust MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

20.46%

increased by 2.01%

1 Week

21.60%

increased by 3.15%

1 Month

23.02%

increased by 4.57%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 09:04 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of H&R Real Estate Investment Trust MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 26, 1997 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 216% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 216% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0920
3.38***
βGARCH0.5953
13.25***
γleverage0.1984
3.85***
λ₁tau intercept0.0033
1.57
λ₂forecast adj.0.0273
3.79***
λ₃tau persistence0.9718
131.62***

0.786

Persistence

3d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0920
3.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5953
13.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1984
3.85***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0033
1.57
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0273
3.79***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9718
131.62***

Persistence:

0.786

Half-life:

3 days