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Vornado Realty Trust GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

25.46%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Week

25.51%

decreased by 0.65%

1 Month

25.72%

decreased by 0.44%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vornado Realty Trust GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 86 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.66 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~86 daysv = 5.66 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.2637
1.22
αARCH0.0794
10.10***
βGARCH0.9920
149.10***
νDF5.6643
2.82***

0.992

Persistence

86d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.2637
1.22
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0794
10.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9920
149.10***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.6643
2.82***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

86 days