V-Lab
Vornado Realty Trust GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
27.90%
decreased by 0.45%
1 Week
27.95%
decreased by 0.40%
1 Month
28.15%
decreased by 0.20%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:17 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 232% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 232% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0447 | 3.03*** |
| αARCH | 0.0270 | 3.32*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9293 | 105.47*** |
| γleverage | 0.0625 | 2.64*** |
0.988
Persistence55d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0447 | 3.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0270 | 3.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9293 | 105.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0625 | 2.64*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
55 days
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