Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Charter Hall Group GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

34.55%

increased by 4.36%

1 Week

34.60%

increased by 4.41%

1 Month

34.82%

increased by 4.63%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:05 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Charter Hall Group GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2005 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 206 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~206 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0236
4.07***
αARCH0.0330
3.61***
βGARCH0.9485
136.46***
γleverage0.0303
1.69*

0.997

Persistence

206d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0236
4.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0330
3.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9485
136.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0303
1.69*

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

206 days