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Charter Hall Group MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

34.79%

increased by 6.02%

1 Week

34.39%

increased by 5.62%

1 Month

33.66%

increased by 4.89%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:05 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Charter Hall Group MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2005 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 151% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 151% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.0431
3.38***
βGARCH0.8268
29.83***
γleverage0.0653
2.90***
λ₁tau intercept0.0272
1.73*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0803
3.57***
λ₃tau persistence0.9145
38.34***

0.903

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0431
3.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8268
29.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0653
2.90***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0272
1.73*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0803
3.57***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9145
38.34***

Persistence:

0.903

Half-life:

7 days