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Vornado Realty Trust MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

29.15%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

31.49%

increased by 2.00%

1 Month

39.07%

increased by 9.58%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vornado Realty Trust MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 369% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 369% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow86
αARCH0.0238
4.52***
βGARCH0.8786
66.78***
γleverage0.0878
7.64***
λ₁tau intercept0.2714
3.17***
λ₂forecast adj.0.8780
8.03***
λ₃tau persistence0.0611
0.67

0.946

Persistence

13d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0238
4.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8786
66.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0878
7.64***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2714
3.17***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8780
8.03***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0611
0.67

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

13 days