CBOE Volatility Index

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CBOE DJIA Volatility Index

CBOE Russell 2000 Volatility Index

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How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	61
αARCH	0.0317	3.08***
βGARCH	0.8775	66.08***
γleverage	0.0926	6.19***
λ₁tau intercept	0.0101	1.94*
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0255	2.85***
λ₃tau persistence	0.9703	93.19***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	61
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0317	3.08***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8775	66.08***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0926	6.19***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0101	1.94*
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0255	2.85***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9703	93.19***

V-Lab

Prologis Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Prologis Inc Analyses