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Vicinity Centres GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

21.68%

increased by 1.10%

1 Week

21.71%

increased by 1.13%

1 Month

21.78%

increased by 1.20%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Vicinity Centres GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 5, 2011 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 57 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 57 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 57-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0245
2.67***
αARCH0.0204
2.52**
βGARCH0.9505
100.31***
γleverage0.0338
1.35

0.988

Persistence

57d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0245
2.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0204
2.52**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9505
100.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0338
1.35

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

57 days