V-Lab
Vicinity Centres GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026
1 Day
21.68%
increased by 1.10%
1 Week
21.71%
increased by 1.13%
1 Month
21.78%
increased by 1.20%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:11 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 5, 2011 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 57 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 57 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 57-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0245 | 2.67*** |
| αARCH | 0.0204 | 2.52** |
| βGARCH | 0.9505 | 100.31*** |
| γleverage | 0.0338 | 1.35 |
0.988
Persistence57d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0245 | 2.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0204 | 2.52** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9505 | 100.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0338 | 1.35 |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
57 days
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