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V-Lab

Weyerhaeuser Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

34.76%

increased by 0.79%

1 Week

34.74%

increased by 0.77%

1 Month

34.67%

increased by 0.70%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Weyerhaeuser Co GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 99 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 198% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~99 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 198% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0308
3.76***
αARCH0.0250
4.63***
βGARCH0.9432
169.77***
γleverage0.0496
3.43***

0.993

Persistence

99d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0308
3.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0250
4.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9432
169.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0496
3.43***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

99 days