V-Lab
Rexford Industrial Realty Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
24.05%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Week
24.98%
increased by 0.58%
1 Month
27.27%
increased by 2.87%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 19, 2013 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.7780 | 10.27*** |
| αARCH | 0.0845 | 4.35*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8475 | 25.21*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.0149 | 1.86* |
| γ2 | -0.0253 | -2.44** |
0.932
Persistence10d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7780 | 10.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0845 | 4.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8475 | 25.21*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.0149 | 1.86* |
| γ2 | -0.0253 | -2.44** |
Persistence:
0.932
Half-life:
10 days
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