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V-Lab

Franklin Solana ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

35.00%

decreased by 69.01%

1 Week

43.11%

decreased by 60.90%

1 Month

50.42%

decreased by 53.59%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Franklin Solana ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 3, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 100% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

86
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

1.0000
267.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.01
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-45.92***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.9863
7.96***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1173
1.37

Persistence:

0.750

Half-life:

2 days