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V-Lab

Sable Offshore Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

182.17%

decreased by 32.82%

1 Week

248.62%

increased by 33.63%

1 Month

993.41%

increased by 778.42%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sable Offshore Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 25, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4603
7.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4679
18.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0044
-0.04
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0089
3.64***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1796
18.14***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8204
70.96***

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days