V-Lab
QVC Group Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, June 24th, 2026
1 Day
2,729.47%
increased by 1,227.71%
1 Week
2,685.56%
increased by 1,183.80%
1 Month
2,522.22%
increased by 1,020.46%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, June 24, 2026 at 03:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 10, 2006 to May 15, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 40 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0442 | 0.58 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5095 | 2.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4735 | 3.67*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 0.8626 | 2.16** |
| γ2 | -1.9985 | -2.95*** |
| γ3 | 2.1245 | 3.51*** |
| γ4 | -1.6271 | -3.16*** |
| γ5 | 1.3299 | 3.41*** |
| γ6 | -1.4889 | -3.99*** |
| γ7 | 1.4846 | 3.43*** |
| γ8 | -1.0597 | -1.71* |
| γ9 | 0.3980 | 0.70 |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
40 days
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