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Pineapple Financial Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

148.55%

increased by 30.45%

1 Week

154.43%

increased by 36.33%

1 Month

174.47%

increased by 56.37%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Pineapple Financial Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 1, 2023 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 58 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 58 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.95 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 58-day half-lifev = 2.95 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run405.6156
1.20
αscore0.1996
12.40***
βpersistence0.9881
116.58***
νDF2.9536
10.44***

0.988

Persistence

58d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

405.6156
1.20
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1996
12.40***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9881
116.58***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.9536
10.44***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days