Pineapple Financial Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
109.93%
increased by 25.44%
1 Week
113.13%
increased by 28.64%
1 Month
121.05%
increased by 36.56%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 1, 2023 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 4.8242 | 1.76* |
| αARCH | 0.2196 | 2.28** |
| βGARCH | 0.6934 | 7.42*** |
| γleverage | 0.0361 | 0.19 |
0.931
Persistence10d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.8242 | 1.76* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2196 | 2.28** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6934 | 7.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0361 | 0.19 |
Persistence:
0.931
Half-life:
10 days
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