V-Lab
The One Enterprise Public Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
39.66%
increased by 2.96%
1 Week
39.69%
increased by 2.99%
1 Month
39.77%
increased by 3.07%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 5, 2021 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.25 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 6.3086 | 2.40** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0524 | 3.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9200 | 24.96*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.2459 | 1.77* |
Persistence:
0.920
Half-life:
8 days
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